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Thirty years later, half of the population can make Asians

The level of migration in modern Russia threatens its national security. Such alarming conclusion experts of the Institute of National Strategy, for several years studied the data on the number of visitors to our country to work of foreign nationals, as well as those who come to work over time has got in our family, became a citizen, or simply " I forgot "to return home

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According to Igor Beloborodov, one of those who took part in the study, the official figures and the actual migration strikingly different that only exacerbates the problem. Thus, according to the Federal Migration Service in Russia is currently "only" 3, 6 million. Immigrants from the former Soviet Union. In fact, according to the Institute of National Strategy, their numbers are many times more and is, including illegal immigrants, 18 million. And given the already settled with Russia in the family home, and those who arrived illegally, has still not left, that is, the so-called "accumulation of migrants" - all 30 million people. These data are confirmed by the FSB. Security officer recorded the difference in 27, 75 million. People between profit and as retiring of the country in the period from 1999 to 2012.



And all this against the background does not stop the demographic crisis among the Russians themselves. In recent years, however, the birth rate in some regions, almost the first time in the last twenty years has exceeded the death rate, but is still very low as compared with the "glorious Soviet stagnation" of the 1980s.

To confirm this, the reporter called the territorial body of the Federal State Statistics Service in St. Petersburg and Leningrad region "Petrostat." Head of Department "for the people" Tatiana Bogdanova told that the number of births per 1000 population increased in St. Petersburg in 2013 compared with 2012 by 2%, the mortality rate for the same period decreased by 4%. In 2013, the birth rate exceeds the death rate in St. Petersburg on 6, 4% (in 2012 - at 0, 7%). In general, in Russia in the past year, the birth rate exceeds the death rate for 1, 2%. But in some Russian regions, dying more people than are born. In particular, in the North-West Federal District - 9, 9%.



So scientists at the Institute of National Strategy, probably right in saying that if it continues to go at the same pace as now, after thirty-odd years, to 2050, "no less than half of Russia's population will be newcomers ».

And they come to us to work, you know, the vast majority of the citizens of the Central Asian republics. Unlike the citizens of the neighboring brotherly Ukraine, which, according to the Russian Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev, "actively go to us in recent years to work", the representatives of Tajikistan and Uzbekistan (they are especially numerous among the migrants), Moldova, not only do not speak Russian, but and do not seek to know him. They have that recognize both the Russian authorities and their own, relatively low level of education, culture, even a purely professional skills. That in turn can not but over time, the general level of education and culture in the Russian Federation.



─ This is just one of the main issues - the level of education of people coming to us for work - said the "joint venture" Konstantin Denisenko, a member of the Russian Academy of Sciences Institute of Sociology. - Not so given I conducted research among high school students in St. Petersburg. I choose such schools and classes, where, together with the local children learn migrants. In the tenth-eleventh grades are practically no, limited to nine-year. In the eighth and ninth of their classmates in the anonymous responses of the visitors speak very negatively treat them with hostility. They say that they never will be able to take their traditions, some, until then hidden, aggression toward those who do not "own».

However, there are other data that suggest positive changes in relations students, teenagers to peers from other CIS republics. In particular, there are those among the answers: "Where them go?". Or: "The normal guys just do not want to learn." Teachers, with whom we communicate also recognize that working with these guys hard. They are often "open-minded" on certain religious and local customs, which for us, mainly Orthodox Christians, seem wild. Parents watching their little achievers. Priorities in these families are different: a religion of money.



Experts say, and a sharp increase in recent years of inter-ethnic tensions in the towns and cities of the country, which had never happened in the days of the USSR. According to the most recent data Research Center national conflicts (zinc) in the leaders came here to the beginning of the year of Dagestan, Moscow, St. Petersburg, Stavropol Krai and Tatarstan. That is, the large regions, which just goes to most workers. During the period from September 2013 to March 2014 recorded there (and I quote) "repeatedly organized mass non-violent conflicts, as well as cases of ethnically motivated violence and political activity with the exploitation of ethnic subjects." Slightly behind the "leaders" of the Kuban, Astrakhan, Moscow, Nizhny Novgorod, Rostov, Samara, Saratov, Chelyabinsk Region and Khanty-Mansi Autonomous.

In total over the first eight months was "not less than 570 ethnically motivated acts of conflict of varying intensity (from placing xenophobic content on the Internet to the mass clashes with weapons and death»).

Even the always cautious, preferring better unsaid than to say anything, the head of the Federal Migration Service Konstantin Romodanovsky, had to recently admit speaking to the senators that "in Russia is more than three million citizens who are migrant workers, who belong to the so-called group risk - people working illegally and exceed the length of stay. They behave the way they are used to keep at home, and this can not but cause negative response from local people. There has been an increase in cases of ethnic intolerance, and this situation skillfully used radicals. "



According to the FMS, last year from Russia were deported more than 60,000 illegal migrants. It is twice more than the year before. But compared with the number remaining in our territory and the newly arriving illegal immigrants, in effect, a drop in the sea. As the amount of fines that are recovered from them or their employers the power: in 2013, six billion rubles.

─ There is a systematic replacement of the Russian population in the Asian - says Moscow political analyst Konstantin Krylov. - I am sure that this is done by the Russian authorities deliberately intended. No civilized European state, but something like the Asian caliphate, omnipotent and despotic.

 - Why do you say that, Konstantin A.? And the Russian president and prime minister, and many members of the government, the State Duma - the Slavs, with a completely European, civilized outlook on life, the world ...

─ The conclusion is clear. In recent years, the rate is clearly on stopping labor, that is, on the migrants. Those now meet not only unskilled labor places, but, for example, and among managers trading networks among superintendents on numerous construction sites. Slowly but surely, they begin to occupy key positions. While - in the workplace, and later will attack the administration. With us, Russian authorities uncomfortable. We have a strong sense of self-worth, we can think, analyze, dream of progress in all areas, we continue to dream of democracy. What can not be said about the Asians, who are used to keep quiet and listen.



A different view at the St. Petersburg Legislative Assembly deputies from the Communist Party Igor Korovin.

─ Problems of migrants is, a lot of them, - says Igor. - One of them consists in the fact that his wife coming to us to earn money from the citizens of other countries are more willing to give birth where our local women. And often not limited to one or two kids. And our women and one to give birth to something, is not persuaded. In this situation, we really risk losing with time priority in their own country.

 - In "Petrostat" I called the curious figures. For example, the number of registered marriages in comparison with 2013 has decreased in St. Petersburg at 1%, the number of divorces, on the contrary, increased by 8%. Of the 62, 7 thousand. Children born in 2012 (more recent data unavailable) four and a half percent, it is about 3 thousand. Man born to mothers with foreign nationality.

─ This is when you can say, "saying the numbers." If not reconsider its attitude to the family and family values ​​- we lose the country.

 - Review should perhaps first and foremost, our rulers ...

─ And they, too, of course. Excellent was at one time the idea of ​​maternal capital. It certainly played a positive role in the fact that children born Russians became more. But "Let's go," the other side. The Russian government is now much talk about what you need to reduce the number of children's homes by placing orphans in families. For a start, however, it is necessary to contribute to the fact that people are willing to take on the education of children. If there is a maternity capital for those who gave birth to the baby, then why not a similar incentive for adoptive parents? After all, those payments that they receive from the state ridiculous. On them, sorry, can not survive. A child needs to wear, put on shoes, teach, heal ... In St. Petersburg, members of parliament are going to cancel the monthly payments to those who took the child from the orphanage or children's home. They offer to pay a lump sum one hundred thousand, on what they say, and that's enough. These hundred thousand fly away quickly, especially taking into account inflation. A child grows up, you know, not overnight ...

Well, of course, the Russian authorities need to change immigration policy. Moreover, decisively and immediately. Otherwise, the process risks becoming irreversible.



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