816
Two versions
ibigdan
At first glance, Putin's actions are absolutely inadequate and lead him to suicide. But I propose to reject the medical version and try to understand what is really seeking Putin. At present, there are two interesting version of what is happening.
1. Economic.
Remember the 2008 summer, the beginning of the global crisis. The rhetoric of "energy superpower" and "safe haven" is suddenly commonplace vranёm economy starts to fall, and to divert attention from the economic Feil, the Kremlin starts a war with Georgia. Gaga, did not finish anything - when his hand remained. However, incandescent hatred of the "cursed Georgians" was enough for half seething, and when people came to their senses - they have lived for six months in a crisis economy. One is accustomed to, plus "but defended their fellow Ossetians." Then oil went and everything returned back, the round was won.
year 2014. Ruble reeling a long time, and in February started this fall. Not saved the Olympics, does not help stabilization fund - currency out of the country (not only from Russia - of all the instability of the economy). How to divert people's attention from the obvious economic feil Great Helmsman Pu? Small victorious war - our recipe. Let's leave aside the question of the war, if held, will be neither small nor victorious. The main thing is that the quilted jackets (primary electorate Putin) beat in ecstasy and spit on the ruble, the closure of enterprises with foreign investment and the potential Iron Curtain. Yes there quilted jackets - from liberals hears "for the Crimea I am ready to forgive Putin everything else." Rating up, it diverted attention from the crisis, checkmate opposition. But these games can lead to loss of life - but when it worried the Kremlin? ..
2. Political.
I understand that the audience KiselTV believes that Ukraine lies in ruins and its final doruinyat Bandera, but in fact after coming to power of people, nominally controlled Maidan, we very quickly to chart a course of reforms, similar to Georgian. Fair elections, the real fight against corruption, lustration, focus on the European Union - there were chances to get out of postsovkovoy incessant ass.
But such maneuvers do not like Putin, who has no idea how to control people, not smeary corruption without two of his release, and in the thinking of European his obscure categories. Not only Putin - who came out of prison in the Maidan Yulia suddenly found that Ukraine and Tymoshenko changed her in any form is not necessary, because belongs to the clan of the same corrupt politicians and smeary. But Putin's very happy with it - a common outlook, common gas business, has given a good price - it is possible to negotiate.
And now look: the new majority in the Verkhovna Rada controlled "Batkіvschinoy." Key posts in the Cabinet and the Prime Minister - Motherland. If YUVT goes to the polls and wins - get the power vertical, vertical Yanukovych completely similar (and even the faces are the same). Throw the oligarchs appointed by the heads of regional administrations in the East - and gets to Ukraine the same as it was before the Maidan. Without a chance to reform, clear to Putin and fully controlled by them.
Question: how to bring YUVT to power, considering that she is now rated lower? Answer: to make her savior from the evil Putin Ukraine. The deployment of troops in the Crimea, maneuvering at the eastern borders of Ukraine, throws landings titushek separatism and sway, in short in every way act on the nerves. All incomprehensible leaders Maidan need to strike and crush: declare terrorists (Jarosz), ascribed to them what they did and did not say (Tyagnybok) strongly prohibit (as Okean Elzy, for example) and essentially does not go with them to any negotiations. And then comes Tymoshenko on a white horse, and incomprehensible way to settle the conflict. Putin recognizes the new power and forget about the protection of "the oppressed Russian language» ™, a savior Julia raises rating to heaven.
And the Crimea ... is likely to remain the same "hot spot" in a political sense. While in Ukraine, there is a source of separatism - it is controlled by those who incite it. So pobudet occupied Crimea before the presidential election, frustrate the tourist season, finally hate Bandera, who did not let him go to Russia - so forth like that.
Source ibigdan.livejournal.com/14646933.html
At first glance, Putin's actions are absolutely inadequate and lead him to suicide. But I propose to reject the medical version and try to understand what is really seeking Putin. At present, there are two interesting version of what is happening.
1. Economic.
Remember the 2008 summer, the beginning of the global crisis. The rhetoric of "energy superpower" and "safe haven" is suddenly commonplace vranёm economy starts to fall, and to divert attention from the economic Feil, the Kremlin starts a war with Georgia. Gaga, did not finish anything - when his hand remained. However, incandescent hatred of the "cursed Georgians" was enough for half seething, and when people came to their senses - they have lived for six months in a crisis economy. One is accustomed to, plus "but defended their fellow Ossetians." Then oil went and everything returned back, the round was won.
year 2014. Ruble reeling a long time, and in February started this fall. Not saved the Olympics, does not help stabilization fund - currency out of the country (not only from Russia - of all the instability of the economy). How to divert people's attention from the obvious economic feil Great Helmsman Pu? Small victorious war - our recipe. Let's leave aside the question of the war, if held, will be neither small nor victorious. The main thing is that the quilted jackets (primary electorate Putin) beat in ecstasy and spit on the ruble, the closure of enterprises with foreign investment and the potential Iron Curtain. Yes there quilted jackets - from liberals hears "for the Crimea I am ready to forgive Putin everything else." Rating up, it diverted attention from the crisis, checkmate opposition. But these games can lead to loss of life - but when it worried the Kremlin? ..
2. Political.
I understand that the audience KiselTV believes that Ukraine lies in ruins and its final doruinyat Bandera, but in fact after coming to power of people, nominally controlled Maidan, we very quickly to chart a course of reforms, similar to Georgian. Fair elections, the real fight against corruption, lustration, focus on the European Union - there were chances to get out of postsovkovoy incessant ass.
But such maneuvers do not like Putin, who has no idea how to control people, not smeary corruption without two of his release, and in the thinking of European his obscure categories. Not only Putin - who came out of prison in the Maidan Yulia suddenly found that Ukraine and Tymoshenko changed her in any form is not necessary, because belongs to the clan of the same corrupt politicians and smeary. But Putin's very happy with it - a common outlook, common gas business, has given a good price - it is possible to negotiate.
And now look: the new majority in the Verkhovna Rada controlled "Batkіvschinoy." Key posts in the Cabinet and the Prime Minister - Motherland. If YUVT goes to the polls and wins - get the power vertical, vertical Yanukovych completely similar (and even the faces are the same). Throw the oligarchs appointed by the heads of regional administrations in the East - and gets to Ukraine the same as it was before the Maidan. Without a chance to reform, clear to Putin and fully controlled by them.
Question: how to bring YUVT to power, considering that she is now rated lower? Answer: to make her savior from the evil Putin Ukraine. The deployment of troops in the Crimea, maneuvering at the eastern borders of Ukraine, throws landings titushek separatism and sway, in short in every way act on the nerves. All incomprehensible leaders Maidan need to strike and crush: declare terrorists (Jarosz), ascribed to them what they did and did not say (Tyagnybok) strongly prohibit (as Okean Elzy, for example) and essentially does not go with them to any negotiations. And then comes Tymoshenko on a white horse, and incomprehensible way to settle the conflict. Putin recognizes the new power and forget about the protection of "the oppressed Russian language» ™, a savior Julia raises rating to heaven.
And the Crimea ... is likely to remain the same "hot spot" in a political sense. While in Ukraine, there is a source of separatism - it is controlled by those who incite it. So pobudet occupied Crimea before the presidential election, frustrate the tourist season, finally hate Bandera, who did not let him go to Russia - so forth like that.
Source ibigdan.livejournal.com/14646933.html
