The accident "Progress": Chronicle, materiel and version





The accident "Progress": Chronicle, materiel and version



April 28 to the ISS was launched "Progress M-27M". It was the start of 150 "progress" and 59 supply the ISS mission. Start and first few minutes of the flight went well, and the ship was launched, but reports of successful breeding quickly replaced the news about problems on board. The number and severity of problems called growing up, and, a day later, it became clear that the ship is lost permanently. Currently, the "Progress" with shrunken batteries, spinning uncontrollably, gradually decelerated by Earth's atmosphere, and, according to recent data, will descend from orbit 7-11 May. Not yet released official results of the investigation, it is time to restore the chronology of events to understand the technology and try to analyze the possible versions of the accident.

Timeline Chronology tells no posleznaniya to demonstrate how changing the perception of news and events.

"Progress M-27M" launched April 28, 2015 at 10:09:50 (hereinafter all Moscow time):



After nine minutes straight broadcast TsENKI passed the message on the successful launch of the ship and its separation from the third stage of the launch vehicle. News Agency published on duty reports of successful breeding, and moved on to other current news.

Those who watched the broadcast NASA-TV , could see that on the screen for a few minutes MCC Show the automatic docking system "Course". Also, according to the speaker, the PMU expected confirmation by telemetry antennas and disclosure of solar ship. Five minutes later it was reported that the solar panels successfully opened, but still there is no confirmation of disclosure antennas. "Progress" went out of sight of land settlements. After about half an hour, NASA TV reported no confirmation disclosure of all antennas "course" and, therefore, instead of a six-hour circuit docking with the ISS ship moved to a two-night.

10:35 The agency "Interfax» reported the absence of telemetry, at 10:42 TASS opublikovalo news about the transition to a two-day circuit connections. 10:54 "Interfax» said about "breeding at 30 km above the desired orbit." All of this information was based on the data that MCC had obtained after separation - "Progress" was supposed to be in sight in the area 11:30.

At 11:40 came the first public data about the orbit of "progress" from NORAD:
40619 / 2015-024A: 127x251 km, 51.6 °
40620 / 2015-024B: 123x306 km, 51.7 ° The data were, frankly, frightening. Orbital characteristics very different from staff 193 (± 2) h238 (± 5) km. Also, with 127 km pericenter "Progress" could "bury" the atmosphere after a few turns.

11:47 In the area there was a picture of the "course" is shown in the MCC and rebroadcast the NASA-TV:

The accident "Progress": Chronicle, materiel and version

The appearance of the image perceived as a successful way of "progress" in the relationship, and it was relayed by news agencies.

At 12:44 there was a marvelous news about the "non-synchronized operation of the engine of the third stage." What's wrong with what should have been synchronized, the journalists did not want to tell, however, after some time, the news was added more or less clear explanation, of course, unrelated to whatever was timing.

In the area of ​​13 hours including the broadcasting of MCC, which has been shown other orbital parameters:

The accident "Progress": Chronicle, materiel and version

An unmatched even more confusing picture. What's orbit right? And the other problem? Do telemetry? Reveal whether the antenna? Especially since transferred Tass message that MCC has no information on the non-disclosure of antennas.

At 13:30, when the "Progress" was on the third round, there was no telemetry information from the board.

The fourth coil near 14:50 on NASA-TV broadcast a picture from the camera appeared "Kurs" (before that it is likely to have been switched off, which explains the black background on the dayside orbit), where it was clear that the ship rotates yaw and pitch at the same time:



In addition, the commentator said about the numerous failures angular rate sensors and that the PMU transferred to board the team attempts to maintain the ban on the orientation in space (obviously, that the control system could not unleash the ship even more due to incorrect operation of sensors, control systems or motors) .

Later NASA-TV reported that at the end of the fourth connection portion of the Satellite Control Center in Moscow gave the team aboard the ship to stop the rotation. Also, due to the fact that the maneuver of rapprochement with the ISS could not be implemented in time for the docking of the two-day scheme was abolished.

On the fifth turn of the transfer of any team or get a full telemetry failed. "Progress" went to the "deaf coils" and communicate with them could only be established on April 29.

Evening of April 28 NORAD confirmed its initial orbit data "progress" with a perigee of 120 km. What has not climbed in any gate, because with such a low perigee of the ship can not survive more than a few turns. However, the night of April 29 came the correction data with normal perigee of 180 km. One mystery was less.

The first session on April 29 was to be held at 03:50. At five in the morning it message Tass that the attempt was unsuccessful. The second session in the morning and five ended in failure. The press reported the possible reduction of the ship from orbit. How this could be done with apparently unmanageable ship remains a mystery. Some small scandal is the story with a copy of the Victory Banner, which obviously will not be able to get to the ISS, however, as it turned out, she was delivered to the ISS in March with the "Union." Also, during the April 29 came the news of the possible attempts to hand control of "progress" with the ISS system teleoperator radio TORU.

Day April 29 has passed information that attempts to contact the ship will no longer be.

Also on April 29 appeared information detected 44 fragments of unknown origin near the "progress". A ham radio R4UAB (Dmitry Pashkov) recorded work onboard radio "Quantum-In." This system is used to send commands to the board and to obtain land of telemetry data.

And finally, in the evening on April 29 held a press conference the Russian Space Agency, which sounded new data and recognized the loss of the ship.

May 1 to the ISS astronauts photographed flying two hundred kilometers below the "Progress" to try to visually identify the damage. Unfortunately, in spite of the telephoto, the picture turned out not enough informative:

The accident "Progress": Chronicle, materiel and version

As of the evening of May 4 the ship actively losing altitude:

The accident "Progress": Chronicle, materiel and version

It seems that the ship will burn in the atmosphere earlier than expected, in the region of 8 May.

Facts At a press conference the Russian Space Agency were announced following facts:

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