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15 modern gadgets
Unfortunately, or perhaps fortunately, even our children and grandchildren will not get caught those things and gadgets that surround us today. The evolution from year to year will ultimately lead to the extinction of our favorite pads, discs and wired internet. They will be replaced by advanced technologies, which we unfortunately did not find you.
Even today, many people are under the age of ~ 20 years extremely vaguely remember the days before the advent of broadband Internet. Once their parents are likely to have used dial-up, but childhood memories really have not kept this time. Wireless broadband internet will not dominate in the next 8-10 years, 15-20 years, but children are not remember the wired Internet.
Today LTE, compared with wired internet, provides a comparable speed to download and more at the upload. But if you use the wireless connection all the time, its price is still too high. At some point, a couple of years, providers are aware that give each user on the antenna - more convenient and potentially cheaper than to lay and maintain the infrastructure of cable network in every home. From this point on wireless internet will be cheaper wired.
Cameras and camcorders.
Cameras in smartphones have almost killed the market of cheap cameras and amateur video cameras. In contrast to the camera, which we take with us just when we think we need it, the smartphone is always with you. In addition to photo and video cameras, the characteristics of which are pretty bad, smartphone offers all kinds of filters for image editing on the fly, as well as the ability to instantly share photos with friends online. Some smart phones also have features that are not typical of budget cameras. For example, SP-A20i Intel's high-speed shooting mode is up to 10 f / s.
Professional "reflex" will not disappear, but after a few years the average user forgets about the camera and camcorder as individual gadgets.
Wired telephone.
According to the data on 2010y year, 26% of homes in the United States did not have a wired phone. It is expected that in 5 years, only a few of the older people, but outcasts will enjoy "home phone". And after 10 years, and most companies give up wired phones, saving a lot of money on this and avoid many difficulties.
(By the way, a couple of months ago, telephones had disappeared from the tables of the Moscow office of Intel. So far this venture purely positive impressions.)
And to "phone home very often call trying to sell something than awful bored ... But that's another story.
Wired home internet
Slow loading of the computer.
When the last time you reboot your PC or laptop? Waiting, when the computer is finally loaded, it became one of the greatest disorders era PC. With the trend towards always included (Always On Always Connected) PC users of the future will almost never turn off their computers. Instead, it will use the sleep mode, the awakening of which takes less than a second. Operating systems of the future will be able to install updates without requiring a mandatory reboot. Even if for some reason and need to reboot the PC, it takes only a few seconds, thanks to the SSD and faster to load the operating system, such as Win8. But once the download PC could take a few minutes ...
Windows operating system
5-10 years in Windows will not windows. However, the OS from Microsoft, probably still will exist. But the idea that each application is displayed in a separate window with a toolbar and the other thing of the past.
Microsoft has now revealed its intention to abandon the windows enough to remember Metro UI. This is an inevitable step (not specifically Metro UI, and the rejection of their windows in today's sense) in order to make the interface more touch-Friendly. And if touchscreens take root, the other operating systems will catch up. A touchscreen take root, because their price falls, users are already accustomed to use them, thanks to smartphones, and soon touchscreen already and so will every
the Notebook
Hard drives.
I still managed to catch computers enjoying a tape recorder for recording data cartridges. Then there were 5.25 '' and 3.5 '' floppy disks, small HDD to IDE ... Maybe someone remembers ZIP-drive and cassette tape drive. But how different would not look this means for storing information, the basis of all their lies some magnetized surface. A magnetic recording technology itself was largely because such distribution as cassette recorders ruled the world.
Today SSD finally allow end the practice of storing data on rotating magnetic disks of all sorts and sizes. For lack of moving parts, the theoretical limits of performance SDD incredibly far, while they themselves are more reliable SSD. Now the cost of SSD is still quite high compared to HDD, but the price difference is rapidly declining. SSD sales grew for the past year, forecasts for the future are also very optimistic. In 5-10 years, you just can not buy a laptop with no SSD. A traditional hard drives will remain the lot of servers and cloud storage, where the cheapest volume performance is much more important.
Cinemas
The first time the death of cinema predicted with the advent of television, but this time, cinemas and perhaps the truth will go down in history for several reasons. The first big FullHD TVs become almost mainstream, and 3D more accessible. Now the average home theater is almost as good as the average multiplex. Second, the development of video on-demand has led to the fact that many of the films can be viewed by subscription in the first day of the shows in the theater.
And finally, the cost. The average movie ticket costs about $ 12-15, and online viewing of the same film, which shows still go to the cinema, will cost $ 07.05 and $ 02.03 if the show just ended. Who wants to pay about $ 50 for going to the movies with friends or with your family, where you will be surrounded by others, is not always adequate audience, dirty chairs and overcooked popcorn (which may accidentally and you pour the collar)? May remain small cinemas showing art house and create some atmosphere, but the standard cinemas disappear.
Mouse.
In the next 5 years, the cost of capacitive touchscreens will fall so that any screen from the laptop / all-in-one until the TV will have a touch interface. Devices such as mice and touchpads will not turn into a pumpkin for one night, but their role and popularity will rapidly decrease. Already Win8 interface supports the work without a mouse through tachskirin, though now these are, at best, sometimes.
(I also would like to know what people think on this score ergonomists. And then there is the view that the touchscreen in this respect is more harmful ... So far, however, is not very convincing.)
3D glasses.
Since the early 1950s, when the theaters were the first films in 3D, viewers were forced to wear a variety of glasses to enjoy three-dimensional effects. However, over the last year or so, there was a lot of 3D technology does not require glasses.
In 2011, Toshiba has released a laptop that uses your webcam to track eye movements and creates excellent 3D. However, only one viewer. Last year, HTC and LG will release phones with stereoscopic 3D displays that do not require glasses. Quality to a home theater does not hold, but yes what you want from your phone? :)
I think that in 10 years, televisions will be able to offer 3D high quality for multiple viewers without the use of glasses.
Remote control
When I was little, there was no TV remote at all. And each time, to make quiet or change the channel, had to get up and go to the TV.
5-10 years will be to manage a TV or using a smartphone, or using voice and gestures.
However, during the time of the IR port on mobile phones, it was possible to use the phone instead of the console. But then the infrared ports disappeared.
Desktops
5-7 years PC manufacturers will no longer produce the majority of desktop computers.
Although, perhaps, all-in-one with larger screens, workstations and servers (in the form of a "blade") remain.
If you like to collect from PC parts, I'm afraid, when your children grow up, they will not be such an opportunity.
Phones
I remember the home phone number of their parents and their own. And he and the other has not changed for many years. But how many rooms you could dial from memory, instead of simply select a contact from your address book?
With the advent of VoIP technology and services such as Skype, Google Talk, etc., you can call someone knowing his username. 15-20 years, meets a beautiful girl, will not ask the phone number, and her ID.
TV primetime
In prehistoric times, people had to gather around their TV in a strictly allotted time to watch your favorite show. With the advent of VCRs favorite show, if you wish, was to enjoy whenever you want.
Modern recorders allow to do without tapes. And since many programs and series are available through video on demand, it is possible and nothing at all to record and watch when you want.
Fax
In the age of e-mail, messengers and 4G has only one justification for what these units from the 70s still enjoy - signature. Some companies and their lawyers are only signed by hand or fax the documents on which the signature is visible. If you do not like personally obbivat thresholds, send a signed document by fax may be a good idea.
But there are three things that finally rid the world of faxes. First, more and more companies are beginning to take digital signature, and hence, a handwritten signature is no longer needed. Second, even if without the requirement of a handwritten signature you can not manage, touch screen and stylus allow scribbled his initials in electronic form. And finally, with the death of landline telephones and faxes die.
Optical discs
Probably another 10 years, and the company will cease to produce CDs. No matter, DVD it will, Blue-ray or something came in to replace them.
10 years disks survive because buyers will not too happy to once again pay for a digital copy that is already in their film library. Yes, there are many rare things that are not found in iTunes and Amazon, but with the growth of video streaming services, physical media will gradually disappear.
Source: habrahabr.ru
Even today, many people are under the age of ~ 20 years extremely vaguely remember the days before the advent of broadband Internet. Once their parents are likely to have used dial-up, but childhood memories really have not kept this time. Wireless broadband internet will not dominate in the next 8-10 years, 15-20 years, but children are not remember the wired Internet.
Today LTE, compared with wired internet, provides a comparable speed to download and more at the upload. But if you use the wireless connection all the time, its price is still too high. At some point, a couple of years, providers are aware that give each user on the antenna - more convenient and potentially cheaper than to lay and maintain the infrastructure of cable network in every home. From this point on wireless internet will be cheaper wired.
Cameras and camcorders.
Cameras in smartphones have almost killed the market of cheap cameras and amateur video cameras. In contrast to the camera, which we take with us just when we think we need it, the smartphone is always with you. In addition to photo and video cameras, the characteristics of which are pretty bad, smartphone offers all kinds of filters for image editing on the fly, as well as the ability to instantly share photos with friends online. Some smart phones also have features that are not typical of budget cameras. For example, SP-A20i Intel's high-speed shooting mode is up to 10 f / s.
Professional "reflex" will not disappear, but after a few years the average user forgets about the camera and camcorder as individual gadgets.
Wired telephone.
According to the data on 2010y year, 26% of homes in the United States did not have a wired phone. It is expected that in 5 years, only a few of the older people, but outcasts will enjoy "home phone". And after 10 years, and most companies give up wired phones, saving a lot of money on this and avoid many difficulties.
(By the way, a couple of months ago, telephones had disappeared from the tables of the Moscow office of Intel. So far this venture purely positive impressions.)
And to "phone home very often call trying to sell something than awful bored ... But that's another story.
Wired home internet
Slow loading of the computer.
When the last time you reboot your PC or laptop? Waiting, when the computer is finally loaded, it became one of the greatest disorders era PC. With the trend towards always included (Always On Always Connected) PC users of the future will almost never turn off their computers. Instead, it will use the sleep mode, the awakening of which takes less than a second. Operating systems of the future will be able to install updates without requiring a mandatory reboot. Even if for some reason and need to reboot the PC, it takes only a few seconds, thanks to the SSD and faster to load the operating system, such as Win8. But once the download PC could take a few minutes ...
Windows operating system
5-10 years in Windows will not windows. However, the OS from Microsoft, probably still will exist. But the idea that each application is displayed in a separate window with a toolbar and the other thing of the past.
Microsoft has now revealed its intention to abandon the windows enough to remember Metro UI. This is an inevitable step (not specifically Metro UI, and the rejection of their windows in today's sense) in order to make the interface more touch-Friendly. And if touchscreens take root, the other operating systems will catch up. A touchscreen take root, because their price falls, users are already accustomed to use them, thanks to smartphones, and soon touchscreen already and so will every
the Notebook
Hard drives.
I still managed to catch computers enjoying a tape recorder for recording data cartridges. Then there were 5.25 '' and 3.5 '' floppy disks, small HDD to IDE ... Maybe someone remembers ZIP-drive and cassette tape drive. But how different would not look this means for storing information, the basis of all their lies some magnetized surface. A magnetic recording technology itself was largely because such distribution as cassette recorders ruled the world.
Today SSD finally allow end the practice of storing data on rotating magnetic disks of all sorts and sizes. For lack of moving parts, the theoretical limits of performance SDD incredibly far, while they themselves are more reliable SSD. Now the cost of SSD is still quite high compared to HDD, but the price difference is rapidly declining. SSD sales grew for the past year, forecasts for the future are also very optimistic. In 5-10 years, you just can not buy a laptop with no SSD. A traditional hard drives will remain the lot of servers and cloud storage, where the cheapest volume performance is much more important.
Cinemas
The first time the death of cinema predicted with the advent of television, but this time, cinemas and perhaps the truth will go down in history for several reasons. The first big FullHD TVs become almost mainstream, and 3D more accessible. Now the average home theater is almost as good as the average multiplex. Second, the development of video on-demand has led to the fact that many of the films can be viewed by subscription in the first day of the shows in the theater.
And finally, the cost. The average movie ticket costs about $ 12-15, and online viewing of the same film, which shows still go to the cinema, will cost $ 07.05 and $ 02.03 if the show just ended. Who wants to pay about $ 50 for going to the movies with friends or with your family, where you will be surrounded by others, is not always adequate audience, dirty chairs and overcooked popcorn (which may accidentally and you pour the collar)? May remain small cinemas showing art house and create some atmosphere, but the standard cinemas disappear.
Mouse.
In the next 5 years, the cost of capacitive touchscreens will fall so that any screen from the laptop / all-in-one until the TV will have a touch interface. Devices such as mice and touchpads will not turn into a pumpkin for one night, but their role and popularity will rapidly decrease. Already Win8 interface supports the work without a mouse through tachskirin, though now these are, at best, sometimes.
(I also would like to know what people think on this score ergonomists. And then there is the view that the touchscreen in this respect is more harmful ... So far, however, is not very convincing.)
3D glasses.
Since the early 1950s, when the theaters were the first films in 3D, viewers were forced to wear a variety of glasses to enjoy three-dimensional effects. However, over the last year or so, there was a lot of 3D technology does not require glasses.
In 2011, Toshiba has released a laptop that uses your webcam to track eye movements and creates excellent 3D. However, only one viewer. Last year, HTC and LG will release phones with stereoscopic 3D displays that do not require glasses. Quality to a home theater does not hold, but yes what you want from your phone? :)
I think that in 10 years, televisions will be able to offer 3D high quality for multiple viewers without the use of glasses.
Remote control
When I was little, there was no TV remote at all. And each time, to make quiet or change the channel, had to get up and go to the TV.
5-10 years will be to manage a TV or using a smartphone, or using voice and gestures.
However, during the time of the IR port on mobile phones, it was possible to use the phone instead of the console. But then the infrared ports disappeared.
Desktops
5-7 years PC manufacturers will no longer produce the majority of desktop computers.
Although, perhaps, all-in-one with larger screens, workstations and servers (in the form of a "blade") remain.
If you like to collect from PC parts, I'm afraid, when your children grow up, they will not be such an opportunity.
Phones
I remember the home phone number of their parents and their own. And he and the other has not changed for many years. But how many rooms you could dial from memory, instead of simply select a contact from your address book?
With the advent of VoIP technology and services such as Skype, Google Talk, etc., you can call someone knowing his username. 15-20 years, meets a beautiful girl, will not ask the phone number, and her ID.
TV primetime
In prehistoric times, people had to gather around their TV in a strictly allotted time to watch your favorite show. With the advent of VCRs favorite show, if you wish, was to enjoy whenever you want.
Modern recorders allow to do without tapes. And since many programs and series are available through video on demand, it is possible and nothing at all to record and watch when you want.
Fax
In the age of e-mail, messengers and 4G has only one justification for what these units from the 70s still enjoy - signature. Some companies and their lawyers are only signed by hand or fax the documents on which the signature is visible. If you do not like personally obbivat thresholds, send a signed document by fax may be a good idea.
But there are three things that finally rid the world of faxes. First, more and more companies are beginning to take digital signature, and hence, a handwritten signature is no longer needed. Second, even if without the requirement of a handwritten signature you can not manage, touch screen and stylus allow scribbled his initials in electronic form. And finally, with the death of landline telephones and faxes die.
Optical discs
Probably another 10 years, and the company will cease to produce CDs. No matter, DVD it will, Blue-ray or something came in to replace them.
10 years disks survive because buyers will not too happy to once again pay for a digital copy that is already in their film library. Yes, there are many rare things that are not found in iTunes and Amazon, but with the growth of video streaming services, physical media will gradually disappear.
Source: habrahabr.ru
