Beginning of the End Mars One?

Program to send humans to Mars in one end of the very few people leave indifferent. It inspires the idea of ​​space colonization, but beyond risky adventure. There are plenty of technical, biological, financial, organizational, philosophical questions that need to be addressed in order that such flight was possible. Now the situation has escalated accusations of impropriety organizers of the project. March 16 at the service came Medium.com интервью program participant Joseph Roche, PhD in physics and astrophysics, Professor, University of Dublin. March 19 appeared интервью Bass Landsdorpa of the realizability of the mission Mars One, in which he, in turn, accused Joseph of lying. I tried to prepare an analysis of two interviews and a small news review of the technical aspects of the project.

Two interviews h4> For convenience, I built this part as follows. The first is the statement of Joseph, then the appropriate response Bass, and, in the end, my comment.

Buying places h5> Adoption Joseph «Топ 10 hopefuls », in which the winners of the third round selection of astronauts were sorted by points.

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Note list of candidates the third round at the site Mars One. In fact, some candidates indicated in the profile points, which suggests that they are not paying money. Check whether the same lists of candidates of the second and third rounds, if they sort out on points. Lists do not fully coincide - there are people with a lot of points, which, however, did not pass in the third round. In the новости the selection is no mention of the ranking list on points, on the contrary, it is argued that in the next rounds of selection is to check the possibility of teamwork, and individual leadership does not mean the opportunity to work successfully in a group. All this does not allow the prosecution to admit Joseph justified. One can argue about the ethics of having sorting on points, due to which journalists are beginning to make a list of the "most promising" candidates, but the organizers can easily disavow it.

Share of fees h5> Adoption Joseph
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The initial number of candidates h5> Adoption Joseph
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Bad selection h5> Adoption Joseph
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Note criteria NASA published on their website, and it says that 1,000 flight hours - an alternative to three years of professional work after release from the university. It also says that the alternative to 1000 hours of flying can be a PhD or a job after university lecturer. criteria set cosmonauts 2012 also have the Internet, and these analyzes there can be collected in a conventional clinic. < br />
Fun starts on. Bass promises that starts now much more careful selection. And it is possible to check. If you will press releases about "individual and team tests," or, on the contrary, one more disappointed candidate will talk about careless at this stage, it will be a serious argument.

In addition to articles in Medium, Bass answers to other questions about the obstacles to the mission.

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Well, it sounds very disturbing conversation about the delay in the 2-4-6-8 years. If landing on leave in 2033, from the initial set of units remain. And, yes, it would be like to "talk about Mars in 20 years in a row for 45 years».

The findings of interviews
From the interviews, it seems to me, can not be inferred malice organizers Mars One. Joseph Roche hastened to leave the project - he has not provided any evidence of fraud hundred percent. Maybe someone from the remaining hundreds of candidates will be able to shed some light on this issue?

Recent technical aspects h4>

On what to sit down? H5> As you know, for the flight and landing on Mars will be used on the basis of the ship Dragon'a company SpaceX. However, согласно latest news , for Dragon developed two landing system - on the engines to the ground and parallel to it, parachuted into the water. The fact that the landing on the engines more technically risky and not mastered. Spacecraft that landed on Earth would be on the engines were only in the projects, and, obviously, SpaceX wants to insure. The problem is that there may repeat the history of Gemini, when promising and risky landing system on the drop-controlled wing eventually replaced by the familiar splashdown on the parachute. Delays, accidents on tests, lack of funds, lack of confidence - all this can lead to the fact that the Dragon will be splashed down on parachutes. But this system is not suitable for Mars. And in this case, Mars One waiting for another delay in the development of a system of landing on Mars. By the way, there is no information about the contract between Mars One, and SpaceX, who knows not whether there will be problems and there?

How to live? H5> In November 2014 65 International Astronautical Congress in Toronto was made доклад Scientists at MIT about the technical aspects of life-support mission Mars One. News Agency wrote that, according to this report, the colonists die on day 68 from lack of oxygen, but it was taken out of context, because the only quoted one of the scenarios in which the life-support system worked without the use of local resources. In fact, the findings of the report were others:

The system, which will provide food for the colonists 100% will oversaturate the room underground station oxygen. Require special system remove oxygen from the air to reduce the risk of fire. Such a system in the history of space exploration has not been done yet. The system of local resources is only 8% of the weight of resources that will produce over two years. This is a very nice value, however, the level of preparedness of technologies for the extraction of local resources is low, so the accuracy of this estimate is poor. Spare parts will eventually become the main cargo. After 130 months, they will take 62% of all cargo to Mars. The most optimistic scenario is only for life support systems and the use of local resources requires 15 launches Falcon Heavy and $ 4, 5 billion Note

Shift timing h5> Announced shift timing is the second in the history of the project. The original plan, which was announced in 2012, in 2014 on Mars were to go telecommunications satellite, the lander-rover and technology demonstrator for the determination of the landing. According to the latest plans for the satellite from the lander will be launched in 2020, and the rover - in 2022. But the arrival of a person moved from 2023 to 2027. The timing of shifts for a company that lives on donations, on the one hand, allow you to build more, on the other hand - increase the cost of providing the work of the company. And keep the interest of the public for decades is extremely difficult, if not impossible.

Conclusion h4>

I think, in 2015 could be the moment of truth for Mars One. They announced plans checked for 2015, and accusations of fraud undermine their credibility. From what we know now, the charges are not supported by strong evidence. And, frankly, do not want to Mars One turned out to be crooks - it will cast a shadow on the enthusiast space and could undermine confidence in the private crowdsourcing projects. On the other hand, if the project will end in failure, it may raise the requirements for elaboration, accountability and transparency of future space projects, which is very good. Do you believe in the success of the mission Mars One?

Yes No Voted 1627 people. Excused 345 people. Who, in your opinion, are the organizers of Mars One? competent professionals who know what they are doing dreamer, not to think about the feasibility of the project < Fraudsters Other (in comments) Voted 1585 people. Excused 383 people. Only registered users can vote in polls. Sign , please.

Source: geektimes.ru/post/247650/