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Isaac Asimov
2014 has come and it's time to recall the predictions for a given this writer - science fiction and scientists 50 years ago and was surprised by his rare perspicacity.
In 1964, an American fiction Isaac Asimov gave a forecast for what the world after 50 years. He correctly foresaw almost all of today's technical innovations. But like almost all futurologists, he did not give a picture of social structure of the world. Today's social forecasts are disappointing: after 20 years of automation work will deprive 45% of current workers.
When in New York in 1964, he held the World Exhibition, the famous science fiction writer and professor of biochemistry at Boston University, Isaac Asimov, at the request of the newspaper The New York Times gave a forecast how the world will look in 2014.
Tezisno his world in 2014 looked so:
1) House will be mainly underground (like most of the space of the city). This will reduce their heating in winter or cooling in summer. The surface of the city will be given over to orchards, grazing and parks
2) tedious household work will be kept to a minimum. Toasters, automatic coffee maker, pressure cooker, etc. - Cooking will be a timer. But a small kitchen will be - will be cooking as a hobby for many people.
3) Robots do not displace people. There will be plenty of computers with the "brain" of the robot, but to manage them will still be people.
4) Motion pictures are three-dimensional, in 3-D format.
5) Technology will not have an electric cord - it will work on long-lived batteries and accumulators.
6) Half of the energy produced in the world in nuclear power plants.
7) Large solar power plants will be put in the desert - in Arizona, Israel, Kazakhstan. By 2014, the technology has to be developed, "collection" of solar energy in space and its focus on the Earth.
8) Vehicles of the future will be a little contact with the road - it will soar above it at a height of 0, 5-1 meter. "Freeboard", sliding over the surface of the water, there will be river and sea transport.
9) Delivery of goods and materials will be something like a pneumatic.
10) Phones are portable, and their screens will be used to study the documents and photographs, reading excerpts of books. Communication will be via satellite.
11) By 2014, the unmanned spacecraft reached Mars. At the same time, the program will be developed in the Martian colony.
12) World population will reach 6, 5 billion., And the US - 350 million. Agglomeration between Boston and Washington will have a population of 40 million. People. The population explosion will force actively explore the arctic, and desert space and colonize offshore (development of underwater cities)
13) In agriculture, the foundation of progress composition of microorganisms. In particular, they are processed into products of yeast and algae. However, the time may not be able to break the psychological resistance to such innovations.
14) The average life expectancy in developed countries reached 85 years. Procreation will be put under the control
15) Computer discipline will form the basis of the educational process in schools
16), humanity will suffer from boredom. Therefore, psychiatry will be the most important medical specialty.
17) will have many of the elite of society, and it will engage in creative work.
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In 1964, an American fiction Isaac Asimov gave a forecast for what the world after 50 years. He correctly foresaw almost all of today's technical innovations. But like almost all futurologists, he did not give a picture of social structure of the world. Today's social forecasts are disappointing: after 20 years of automation work will deprive 45% of current workers.
When in New York in 1964, he held the World Exhibition, the famous science fiction writer and professor of biochemistry at Boston University, Isaac Asimov, at the request of the newspaper The New York Times gave a forecast how the world will look in 2014.
Tezisno his world in 2014 looked so:
1) House will be mainly underground (like most of the space of the city). This will reduce their heating in winter or cooling in summer. The surface of the city will be given over to orchards, grazing and parks
2) tedious household work will be kept to a minimum. Toasters, automatic coffee maker, pressure cooker, etc. - Cooking will be a timer. But a small kitchen will be - will be cooking as a hobby for many people.
3) Robots do not displace people. There will be plenty of computers with the "brain" of the robot, but to manage them will still be people.
4) Motion pictures are three-dimensional, in 3-D format.
5) Technology will not have an electric cord - it will work on long-lived batteries and accumulators.
6) Half of the energy produced in the world in nuclear power plants.
7) Large solar power plants will be put in the desert - in Arizona, Israel, Kazakhstan. By 2014, the technology has to be developed, "collection" of solar energy in space and its focus on the Earth.
8) Vehicles of the future will be a little contact with the road - it will soar above it at a height of 0, 5-1 meter. "Freeboard", sliding over the surface of the water, there will be river and sea transport.
9) Delivery of goods and materials will be something like a pneumatic.
10) Phones are portable, and their screens will be used to study the documents and photographs, reading excerpts of books. Communication will be via satellite.
11) By 2014, the unmanned spacecraft reached Mars. At the same time, the program will be developed in the Martian colony.
12) World population will reach 6, 5 billion., And the US - 350 million. Agglomeration between Boston and Washington will have a population of 40 million. People. The population explosion will force actively explore the arctic, and desert space and colonize offshore (development of underwater cities)
13) In agriculture, the foundation of progress composition of microorganisms. In particular, they are processed into products of yeast and algae. However, the time may not be able to break the psychological resistance to such innovations.
14) The average life expectancy in developed countries reached 85 years. Procreation will be put under the control
15) Computer discipline will form the basis of the educational process in schools
16), humanity will suffer from boredom. Therefore, psychiatry will be the most important medical specialty.
17) will have many of the elite of society, and it will engage in creative work.
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