The International Energy Agency: battery electric vehicles rapidly getting cheaper

The leader on the world market will be Tesla




The official mission of Tesla Motors is to accelerate the transition of the world on pure electric vehicles. The main reason why electric cars are still more expensive than gasoline cars - is the high cost of lithium-ion batteries. This is the most important thing that is holding back the mass distribution of electric vehicles.

Nevertheless, Tesla Motors Mission gradually implemented. According to the latest report of the International Energy Agency, sales of electric cars is rapidly growing. In 2015, worldwide it sold more than 550,000 units (+ 70%), so that the total number of electric vehicles on the roads has increased to 1, 25 million.

The most interesting thing happens with the batteries. Since 2008, the cost of batteries has fallen four times, and the energy density has increased by five times. Tesla promises that after the launch of Gigafabriki prices have to fall.

The fact that the world fleet of electric cars has exceeded one million units - a symbolic achievement. The report said that this success was achieved through the efforts of commercial companies and state programs granting tariff preferences for cleaner cars.

The report has a few more interesting facts. For example, the number of sold electric leads China, in second place - the United States, but the share of electric vehicles in the auto market by a wide margin ahead of Norway (23%), in second place - the Netherlands (almost 10%).



Source: International Energy Agency, Global EV Outlook 2016

The Chinese made a sharp jump in 2015.



Source: International Energy Agency, Global EV Outlook 2016

In addition to Norway and the Netherlands, a market barrier of 1% electric vehicles have more in five countries: Sweden, Denmark, France, China and the UK

. By the way, just a few days ago, Norway announced plans to completely switch to electric vehicles by 2025. It was learned that the four largest political parties of the country have reached an agreement in principle on the need to ban the sale of vehicles that use diesel and gasoline engines. The Norwegian government has started to develop an appropriate bill. If the bill goes through the parliament, the sales of new gasoline vehicles are likely to be banned or heavily taxed.

Elon Musk with admiration took the news from Norway: "What a wonderfully cool country", - he wrote on Twitter

Just heard that Norway will ban new sales of fuel cars in 2025. What an amazingly awesome country.. You guys rock !!! pic.twitter.com/uAXuBkDYuR- Elon Musk (@elonmusk) June 3, 2016 GV case with Norway piquancy of the situation is that this country - one of the world's major oil exporters, it is due to the oil it receives a significant portion of the national budget, as well as Russia. Probably, the Norwegian authorities believed that the transition to electric cars do not have a major impact on oil exports as hydrocarbons have many other applications in industry.

The study by the International Energy Agency predicting a bright future for environmentally friendly transport on electricity, and in particular the company Tesla Motors. In the coming years experts expect a further decline in prices and the improvement of the technical characteristics of automotive batteries, "Technological progress, scientific and technological research and the transition to mass production led to a rapid fall in prices and productivity improvements in the last decade and promises to continue a gradual decline in prices in the near future. Battery cost for hybrid electric PHEV (plug-in hybrid electric vehicle), according to the US Department of Energy, has dropped from $ 1,000 per kilowatt hour in 2008 to 268 dollars per kilowatt-hour in 2015, which corresponds to a decrease in prices by 73% . »



Source: International Energy Agency, Global EV Outlook 2016

The International Energy Agency calls the company Tesla Motors the main reason for the reduced and will reduce the cost of batteries for electric vehicles, "Some original equipment manufacturers have announced even more ambitious price targets for electric BEV (battery electric vehicle): General Motors Company announced that the cost of batteries for 2016 Chevrolet Bolt will fall to $ 145 / kWh by October 2015, and it hopes to reduce it to $ 100 / kWh by 2022. Manufacturer of electric Tesla is going to reach $ 100 / kWh by 2020. »

"Improving battery cost and energy density allow manufacturers to declare the cruising range on a single charge, unprecedented. For example, in March 2016 the company Tesla Motors began taking orders for the new Model 3, which has a minimum cruising range of 350 kilometers. The first machines Model 3 to be delivered to customers in 2017. »

More recently, Tesla CTO Jeffrey Brian Strobel (JB Straubel) hinted at a reduction of prices and technological innovations batteries Gigafabrike Tesla (Gigafactory), which will begin work July 29, 2016. Strobel said that "much better battery life possible," thanks to the "innovation in chemistry and materials science." He continued: "We are seeing improvements in the performance, and not only price decline." A recent news that Tesla hired one of the world's leading scientists, who leads the study of lithium-ion batteries, confirms the words of technical director of the Tesla.

According to the official biography, Dan Jeff (Jeff Dahn) is considered "one of the leading developers of the technology of lithium-ion batteries ... the author of over 500 scientific papers and co-inventor of 58 inventions for which patents are granted or applied for»

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Jeff and Dan car Tesla Model S. Photo: Dalhousie University

It is said that when Jeff Daniel learned about the Tesla Gigafabrike, then immediately said he wanted to work there. In April 2016, by the way, Jeff Dan was awarded the Governor General's Innovation Awards (GGIA) - Canada's government awards to scientists and inventors for his "contribution to the increase in the capacity of lithium-ion batteries»

. In comments to the press on the occasion of receiving the award is given to say that is working on the technology of lithium-ion batteries that can operate for more than 30 years. This is particularly important for medical implants to function until the end of life of the patient without the need for replacement. But for vehicles such technology will not be superfluous.

Obviously, the International Energy Agency sees the company Tesla Motors the world leader in this field. And judging by the number of pre-orders for the Model 3 (400 000), the buyers also agree that Tesla will certainly take place in the forefront of the revolution in the automotive market.

Source: geektimes.ru/post/277034/